博体育

博体育

Strong to Severe Thunderstorms from the Southern Plains to the Ohio Valley; Heavy Rain and Flooding in the Southern Plains

Severe thunderstorms are expected from central Texas to middle Tennessee and Kentucky this afternoon into tonight. Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats. Heavy to excessive rainfall may produce areas of flooding today and tonight from central Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley.

Snow Amount Potential
Experimental -
Expected Snowfall - Official 博体育 Forecast
 
 

What's this?
High End Amount
1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall
 

What's this?
Low End Amount
9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall
 

What's this?

Low End Amount – 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes.

Expected Snowfall - Official 博体育 Forecast

 

This map is the official 博体育 snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by 博体育 forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations.

High End Amount – Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.

 
The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing 博体育 deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's , and please provide us your feedback .
Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Experimental -
What's this?

Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than

 

This series of maps shows the probability (that is, the likelihood) that snowfall will equal or exceed specific amounts during the time period shown on the graphic. These forecasts are based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals.

Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
>=0.1"
 
>=1"
 
>=2"
 
>=4"
 
>=6"
 
>=8"
 
>=12"
 
>=18"
 
 

Snowfall Totals by Location
Experimental -
What's this?

Snowfall Totals by Location

 

These tables show the snowfall forecast for individual locations, and provide the same information as the graphics on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics.

 
Ice Accumulation Potential
 
Expected Ice Accumulation - Official 博体育 Forecast
Most Likely Ice Accumulation

What's this?

Most Likely Ice Accumulation

Represents our official ice forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The ice accumulation amounts are provided in ranges.


 

 

 

 
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Snow Amount Potential
Experimental -
Expected Snowfall - Official 博体育 Forecast
 
 

What's this?
High End Amount
1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall
 

What's this?
Low End Amount
9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall
 

What's this?

Low End Amount – 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes.

Expected Snowfall - Official 博体育 Forecast

 

This map is the official 博体育 snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by 博体育 forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations.

High End Amount – Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.

 
The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing 博体育 deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's , and please provide us your feedback .
Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Experimental -
What's this?

Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than

 

This series of maps shows the probability (that is, the likelihood) that snowfall will equal or exceed specific amounts during the time period shown on the graphic. These forecasts are based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals.

Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
>=0.1"
 
>=1"
 
>=2"
 
>=4"
 
>=6"
 
>=8"
 
>=12"
 
>=18"
 
 
Other Snow/Ice Information
Observed Snow/Ice Amounts Winter Storm Severity Index
Latest snow report
What's this? What's this?

Reported Snow and Ice

As snow and/or ice reports come into the 博体育 we consolidate and post them here. You can email reports to lwx-report@noaa.gov or X to @博体育_BaltWash. With the map linked here, and the supporting reports listed below it, you can keep tabs on how much has fallen. Note you can toggle between mapping snow and ice reports using the drop down menu just above the map.

Winter Storm Severity Index

The purpose of the Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI) is to provide 博体育 partners and the general public with an indication of the level of winter precipitation (snow and ice) severity and its potential related societal impacts.

 

Useful Winter Weather Information
Historic Mid-Atlantic
Winter Storms
Winter/Snowfall
Statistics
El Niño and
DC/Baltimore Winters
Watches, Warnings,
& Advisories
La Niña and
DC/Baltimore Winters
** BE PREPARED! **
At Home On the Road Outside in the Cold
Onset/End of Wintry Precipitation
Onset of Wintry Precipitation
(For areas under Warning or Advisory)
End of Wintry Precipitation
(For areas under Warning or Advisory)
 
Winter Precipitation Onset
Winter Precipitation End Time
 
What's this? What's this?  

Precipitation Onset

Most likely time of winter precipitation onset (snow, sleet, freezing rain). Rain is not included here. This information is provided when we issue a Warning or Advisory for expected snow or ice accumulation; typically six to 24 hours in advance. Times are only given for places that are under a Warning or Advisory. They will be blank in areas outside Warnings or Advisories.

Precipitation End Time

Most likely time that the accumulating winter precipitation ends (snow, sleet, freezing rain). Rain is not included here. This information is provided when we issue a Warning or Advisory for expected snow or ice accumulation; typically six to 24 hours in advance of the onset. Times are only given for places that are under a Warning or Advisory. They will be blank in areas outside Warnings or Advisories.

Long-Range Forecast
 

Days 4-7

Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Days 4-5 Forecast Precipitation Days 6-7 Forecast Precipitation
Days 4-5 Precip Days 6-7 Precip
 
 

Days 6-10

Temperature  Precipitation
6-10 day temperature 6-10 day precipitation
 
 

Days 8-14

TEMPERATURE  PRECIPITATION
8-14 day temperature 8-14 day precipitation
 
 

Week 3-4

TEMPERATURE

PRECIPITATION

Week 3-4 Temperature Week 3-4 precipitation
Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI) Winter Storm Outlook (WSO)
Maryland Ice Accumulation Forecast
Maryland Ice Accumulation Forecast Maryland Ice Accumulation Forecast