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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
博体育 Albuquerque NM
0716 MDT Saturday May 3 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, May 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 59.2 F/15.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 573 ft/min (2.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17292 ft MSL (10959 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 70.0 F/21.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13339 ft MSL (7006 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 05/04....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:10:28 / 19:51:12 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 40 min 44 sec (820 min 44 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:00:50 MDT... 70.94 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11825 ft MSL (5492 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14283 ft MSL (7950 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15309 ft MSL (8976 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.1
K index......................... +7.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.0 -77.8 280 35 18 2.7 1.5 90.6 195.1 40.5 M M
45000 -57.0 -70.6 285 47 24 1.7 0.9 74.6 166.3 33.3 M M
40000 -54.4 -65.9 275 42 21 1.7 0.9 55.7 132.2 23.0 M M
38000 -53.8 -64.8 275 30 15 0.5 0.3 47.8 118.0 18.2 M M
36000 -53.4 -64.1 275 10 5 0.5 0.3 38.9 101.9 12.5 M M
34000 -51.9 -61.4 070 2 1 6.2 3.4 33.0 91.5 8.6 M M
32000 -48.2 -54.8 055 8 4 6.2 3.4 30.0 86.0 6.6 M M
30000 -44.0 -47.2 070 10 5 8.2 4.5 27.9 82.1 5.1 M M
29000 -41.6 -42.9 090 10 5 8.2 4.5 27.2 80.9 4.7 M M
28000 -39.1 -38.4 105 11 6 8.2 4.5 26.7 80.0 4.3 M M
27000 -36.6 -33.9 120 13 6 8.9 4.9 26.2 79.2 4.0 M M
26000 -34.0 -29.2 125 13 7 8.8 4.8 25.8 78.4 3.7 M M
25000 -31.3 -24.3 130 13 7 8.8 4.8 25.4 77.8 3.5 M M
24000 -28.7 -19.7 135 13 7 8.0 4.4 25.1 77.2 3.3 M M
23000 -26.4 -15.5 140 12 6 7.9 4.4 24.4 75.8 2.7 M M
22000 -24.0 -11.2 145 12 6 7.9 4.4 23.7 74.7 2.2 M M
21000 -21.6 -6.9 150 11 6 8.1 4.4 23.2 73.7 1.7 M M
20000 -19.2 -2.6 145 10 5 8.1 4.4 22.5 72.5 1.2 M M
19500 -17.4 0.7 140 10 5 8.1 4.4 22.1 71.8 0.8 M M
19000 -16.1 3.0 140 9 5 8.3 4.5 21.9 71.4 0.6 M M
18500 -14.9 5.2 140 9 5 8.5 4.7 21.7 71.0 0.4 M M
18000 -13.6 7.5 145 8 4 8.6 4.7 21.5 70.6 0.3 M M
17500 -12.3 9.9 150 8 4 8.4 4.6 21.2 70.2 0.1 M M
17000 -11.1 12.0 155 7 4 8.4 4.6 21.0 69.8 -0.2 934 4.7
16500 -9.8 14.4 165 6 3 8.2 4.5 20.8 69.5 -0.4 882 4.5
16000 -8.7 16.3 170 5 3 8.0 4.4 20.5 68.9 -0.7 832 4.2
15500 -7.5 18.5 180 4 2 7.8 4.3 20.2 68.4 -1.0 781 4.0
15000 -6.5 20.3 190 3 2 6.7 3.7 19.8 67.6 -1.4 736 3.7
14500 -5.5 22.1 215 3 1 6.8 3.7 19.3 66.7 -1.9 691 3.5
14000 -4.5 23.9 225 3 1 6.8 3.7 18.8 65.9 -2.4 647 3.3
13500 -3.5 25.7 230 3 1 6.8 3.7 18.3 65.0 -2.9 602 3.1
13000 -2.5 27.5 225 3 1 7.2 3.9 17.9 64.2 -3.3 557 2.8
12500 -1.4 29.5 215 3 1 7.2 3.9 17.5 63.4 -3.8 511 2.6
12000 -0.4 31.3 205 3 2 7.5 4.1 17.1 62.7 -4.2 465 2.4
11500 0.7 33.3 190 3 2 7.5 4.1 16.7 62.1 -4.6 417 2.1
11000 1.8 35.2 180 3 2 7.0 3.8 16.3 61.4 -5.0 371 1.9
10500 2.7 36.9 170 4 2 7.2 4.0 15.9 60.6 -5.5 327 1.7
10250 3.2 37.8 165 4 2 6.3 3.4 15.7 60.2 -5.8 305 1.5
10000 3.6 38.5 160 5 3 4.5 2.5 15.3 59.6 -6.2 287 1.5
9750 3.9 39.0 160 6 3 4.1 2.3 14.9 58.8 -6.7 271 1.4
9500 4.1 39.4 155 7 3 4.6 2.5 14.5 58.0 -7.1 255 1.3
9250 4.4 39.9 155 7 4 3.2 1.7 14.1 57.3 -7.6 240 1.2
9000 4.5 40.1 155 9 4 1.7 0.9 13.5 56.2 -8.2 229 1.2
8750 4.7 40.5 155 10 5 2.2 1.2 12.9 55.2 -8.9 218 1.1
8500 4.8 40.6 155 11 6 2.2 1.2 12.3 54.1 -9.5 206 1.0
8250 5.0 41.0 155 12 6 2.3 1.3 11.7 53.1 -10.1 194 1.0
8000 5.1 41.2 155 13 6 2.4 1.3 11.1 52.1 -10.7 181 0.9
7750 5.3 41.5 155 13 7 2.2 1.2 10.6 51.0 -11.2 169 0.9
7500 5.5 41.9 155 13 7 2.5 1.4 10.0 50.0 -11.8 156 0.8
7250 5.7 42.3 155 13 6 3.1 1.7 9.5 49.1 -12.4 142 0.7
7000 5.9 42.6 155 11 6 3.4 1.9 9.0 48.2 -12.9 127 0.6
6750 6.2 43.2 155 10 5 2.7 1.5 8.5 47.3 -13.4 113 0.6
6500 6.3 43.3 150 7 4 -2.1 -1.2 7.8 46.1 -14.1 103 0.5
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.6 | CAPE... +189.6 LI... -1.0
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +6.8 | CINH... -6.7 K Index... +16.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.3 -78.3 275 32 17 2.9 1.6 | -61.1 -78.0 270 31 16 2.1 1.1
45000 -57.1 -70.8 275 40 20 1.1 0.6 | -57.9 -72.2 265 40 21 2.3 1.3
40000 -55.3 -67.5 270 38 19 1.2 0.7 | -54.4 -65.9 265 42 22 2.3 1.3
38000 -54.2 -65.6 260 31 16 2.0 1.1 | -52.7 -62.9 265 36 19 2.6 1.4
36000 -52.9 -63.2 245 19 10 2.0 1.1 | -51.1 -60.0 260 28 15 2.6 1.4
34000 -50.9 -59.6 215 10 5 5.5 3.0 | -49.3 -56.7 245 17 9 3.9 2.1
32000 -47.6 -53.7 115 10 5 5.5 3.0 | -47.0 -52.6 155 14 7 3.8 2.1
30000 -43.7 -46.7 095 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -43.7 -46.7 130 24 12 8.3 4.5
29000 -41.3 -42.3 095 18 9 8.1 4.5 | -41.2 -42.2 125 23 12 8.2 4.5
28000 -38.8 -37.8 100 18 9 8.1 4.5 | -38.7 -37.7 125 23 12 8.2 4.5
27000 -36.3 -33.3 100 18 9 8.8 4.8 | -36.2 -33.2 125 23 12 8.7 4.8
26000 -33.7 -28.7 105 17 9 8.7 4.8 | -33.6 -28.5 125 21 11 8.7 4.8
25000 -31.1 -24.0 115 17 9 8.7 4.8 | -31.0 -23.8 125 20 10 8.7 4.8
24000 -28.5 -19.3 120 16 8 8.3 4.5 | -28.4 -19.1 125 18 9 8.0 4.4
23000 -26.1 -15.0 135 14 7 8.2 4.5 | -26.1 -15.0 130 15 8 7.9 4.3
22000 -23.6 -10.5 150 12 6 8.2 4.5 | -23.7 -10.7 130 12 6 7.9 4.3
21000 -21.2 -6.2 160 12 6 7.7 4.2 | -21.4 -6.5 140 9 5 7.3 4.0
20000 -18.3 -0.9 165 12 6 7.7 4.2 | -18.6 -1.5 155 6 3 7.4 4.1
19500 -17.2 1.0 165 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -17.5 0.5 170 5 2 7.5 4.1
19000 -16.0 3.2 165 11 6 7.9 4.3 | -16.5 2.3 190 4 2 7.7 4.3
18500 -14.8 5.4 165 11 5 8.2 4.5 | -15.3 4.5 200 5 2 8.1 4.4
18000 -13.6 7.5 165 10 5 8.3 4.5 | -14.1 6.6 205 5 3 8.1 4.4
17500 -12.4 9.7 165 9 5 7.6 4.2 | -12.8 9.0 205 6 3 8.2 4.5
17000 -11.3 11.7 160 8 4 7.6 4.2 | -11.6 11.1 200 6 3 8.2 4.5
16500 -10.1 13.8 155 7 4 7.6 4.2 | -10.4 13.3 200 6 3 7.7 4.2
16000 -9.0 15.8 155 5 3 7.6 4.2 | -9.3 15.3 195 6 3 7.5 4.1
15500 -7.9 17.8 150 3 2 7.6 4.2 | -8.2 17.2 190 6 3 7.4 4.1
15000 -6.8 19.8 185 1 1 7.4 4.1 | -7.1 19.2 200 5 3 7.2 3.9
14500 -5.7 21.7 280 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -6.1 21.0 215 5 3 7.2 4.0
14000 -4.6 23.7 285 3 2 7.5 4.1 | -5.0 23.0 230 6 3 7.9 4.3
13500 -3.5 25.7 285 3 2 7.6 4.2 | -3.9 25.0 235 7 4 7.9 4.4
13000 -2.5 27.5 275 3 2 6.7 3.6 | -2.8 27.0 240 8 4 7.4 4.1
12500 -1.5 29.3 265 3 1 6.7 3.7 | -1.7 28.9 240 9 4 7.4 4.1
12000 -0.5 31.1 245 3 1 7.0 3.9 | -0.6 30.9 240 9 5 8.2 4.5
11500 0.5 32.9 225 4 2 7.0 3.8 | 0.6 33.1 240 9 5 8.2 4.5
11000 1.5 34.7 215 5 2 7.6 4.2 | 1.8 35.2 240 9 4 8.9 4.9
10500 2.6 36.7 210 6 3 7.4 4.1 | 3.1 37.6 235 8 4 8.7 4.8
10250 3.1 37.6 205 6 3 6.8 3.7 | 3.8 38.8 235 8 4 9.3 5.1
10000 3.6 38.5 205 7 3 6.6 3.6 | 4.5 40.1 235 8 4 9.8 5.4
9750 4.1 39.4 205 7 4 6.9 3.8 | 5.2 41.4 230 8 4 9.5 5.2
9500 4.6 40.3 200 7 4 7.0 3.8 | 5.9 42.6 230 8 4 9.3 5.1
9250 5.1 41.2 200 7 4 6.3 3.5 | 6.6 43.9 230 8 4 10.5 5.7
9000 5.5 41.9 195 7 4 5.0 2.7 | 7.5 45.5 225 7 4 10.6 5.8
8750 5.8 42.4 195 7 4 4.3 2.4 | 8.2 46.8 225 7 4 9.3 5.1
8500 6.1 43.0 190 7 3 3.8 2.1 | 8.9 48.0 220 7 4 9.5 5.2
8250 6.2 43.2 185 6 3 0.9 0.5 | 9.6 49.3 220 7 3 9.9 5.4
8000 6.2 43.2 180 5 3 -0.5 -0.3 | 10.4 50.7 215 6 3 10.1 5.5
7750 6.2 43.2 175 5 2 0.5 0.3 | 11.1 52.0 215 6 3 9.5 5.2
7500 6.3 43.3 170 4 2 4.4 2.4 | 11.8 53.2 210 6 3 9.9 5.4
7250 6.8 44.2 165 4 2 9.2 5.0 | 12.6 54.7 205 6 3 10.9 6.0
7000 7.5 45.5 165 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 13.4 56.1 205 6 3 11.2 6.2
6750 8.2 46.8 160 3 2 9.9 5.5 | 14.2 57.6 200 6 3 10.3 5.6
6500 9.1 48.4 160 3 2 13.7 7.5 | 15.1 59.2 195 5 3 14.5 8.0
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
05/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +216.3 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +137.9 LI... -1.0
CINH... -0.8 K Index... +27.0 | CINH... -22.4 K Index... +25.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.0 -77.8 260 29 15 1.9 1.0 | -59.9 -75.8 265 23 12 3.0 1.7
45000 -58.2 -72.8 255 39 20 1.7 0.9 | -55.8 -68.4 265 31 16 -1.1 -0.6
40000 -55.7 -68.3 255 35 18 1.7 0.9 | -57.0 -70.6 245 37 19 -0.8 -0.4
38000 -53.7 -64.7 260 35 18 4.2 2.3 | -55.3 -67.5 250 34 18 4.6 2.5
36000 -50.8 -59.4 260 35 18 4.2 2.3 | -52.2 -62.0 265 28 15 4.6 2.5
34000 -48.2 -54.8 260 30 16 4.5 2.5 | -49.1 -56.4 280 24 12 6.2 3.4
32000 -45.5 -49.9 250 18 10 4.5 2.5 | -45.4 -49.7 290 18 10 6.2 3.4
30000 -42.4 -44.3 205 10 5 6.6 3.6 | -41.5 -42.7 295 14 7 7.0 3.8
29000 -40.4 -40.7 165 11 6 6.6 3.6 | -39.4 -38.9 285 12 6 7.0 3.8
28000 -38.5 -37.3 145 16 8 6.6 3.6 | -37.3 -35.1 275 10 5 7.0 3.8
27000 -36.3 -33.3 135 20 10 8.9 4.9 | -35.2 -31.4 260 9 4 7.2 4.0
26000 -33.7 -28.7 130 19 10 8.7 4.8 | -33.0 -27.4 260 7 4 7.2 4.0
25000 -31.1 -24.0 130 17 9 8.7 4.8 | -30.9 -23.6 260 6 3 7.2 4.0
24000 -28.6 -19.5 125 16 8 8.1 4.4 | -28.7 -19.7 260 5 2 8.1 4.4
23000 -26.2 -15.2 125 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -26.2 -15.2 255 3 2 8.2 4.5
22000 -23.8 -10.8 130 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -23.8 -10.8 240 2 1 8.3 4.5
21000 -21.5 -6.7 135 8 4 7.4 4.1 | -21.4 -6.5 205 2 1 7.6 4.2
20000 -18.8 -1.8 160 6 3 7.6 4.1 | -19.1 -2.4 180 4 2 7.7 4.2
19500 -17.7 0.1 175 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -18.0 -0.4 180 5 3 7.8 4.3
19000 -16.6 2.1 185 6 3 8.1 4.5 | -16.9 1.6 175 6 3 7.7 4.2
18500 -15.3 4.5 190 7 4 8.9 4.9 | -15.7 3.7 175 7 4 8.3 4.5
18000 -14.0 6.8 195 8 4 9.1 5.0 | -13.9 7.0 185 8 4 8.3 4.6
17500 -12.8 9.0 195 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -12.7 9.1 185 8 4 8.0 4.4
17000 -11.6 11.1 195 9 5 7.9 4.4 | -11.5 11.3 190 9 4 8.1 4.4
16500 -10.4 13.3 200 10 5 8.1 4.4 | -10.3 13.5 190 9 5 8.5 4.7
16000 -9.2 15.4 200 10 5 8.2 4.5 | -9.0 15.8 195 9 5 8.7 4.8
15500 -8.0 17.6 200 10 5 8.2 4.5 | -7.7 18.1 195 9 5 9.0 4.9
15000 -6.8 19.8 205 10 5 8.5 4.7 | -6.2 20.8 200 10 5 9.9 5.4
14500 -5.5 22.1 205 11 6 8.5 4.7 | -4.7 23.5 200 10 5 9.9 5.4
14000 -4.2 24.4 205 11 6 8.7 4.8 | -3.3 26.1 205 10 5 9.5 5.2
13500 -2.9 26.8 205 11 6 8.6 4.7 | -1.9 28.6 205 11 6 9.5 5.2
13000 -1.6 29.1 205 11 6 9.5 5.2 | -0.4 31.3 205 11 6 9.7 5.3
12500 -0.2 31.6 205 11 6 9.4 5.2 | 1.0 33.8 205 12 6 9.8 5.4
12000 1.3 34.3 210 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 2.4 36.3 205 12 6 8.9 4.9
11500 2.8 37.0 210 12 6 9.9 5.4 | 3.8 38.8 205 13 7 9.1 5.0
11000 4.3 39.7 210 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 5.2 41.4 200 13 7 9.2 5.1
10500 5.7 42.3 215 12 6 9.9 5.5 | 6.5 43.7 195 14 7 9.1 5.0
10250 6.5 43.7 215 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 7.1 44.8 195 15 8 7.6 4.2
10000 7.2 45.0 215 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 7.6 45.7 195 15 8 7.5 4.1
9750 8.0 46.4 215 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 8.3 46.9 190 16 8 8.9 4.9
9500 8.7 47.7 215 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 8.9 48.0 190 16 8 8.3 4.6
9250 9.5 49.1 215 12 6 11.5 6.3 | 9.5 49.1 190 17 9 9.2 5.1
9000 10.4 50.7 220 13 6 11.1 6.1 | 10.3 50.5 185 17 9 9.2 5.1
8750 11.1 52.0 220 13 6 8.8 4.8 | 10.9 51.6 185 18 9 8.5 4.6
8500 11.8 53.2 220 13 7 9.1 5.0 | 11.5 52.7 180 18 9 8.6 4.7
8250 12.5 54.5 220 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 12.2 54.0 180 19 10 8.6 4.7
8000 13.3 55.9 220 13 7 10.9 6.0 | 12.8 55.0 180 19 10 8.9 4.9
7750 14.1 57.4 220 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 13.5 56.3 175 19 10 9.6 5.3
7500 14.8 58.6 220 13 7 9.9 5.4 | 14.2 57.6 175 20 10 9.8 5.4
7250 15.5 59.9 220 13 7 10.2 5.6 | 15.0 59.0 175 20 10 9.4 5.1
7000 16.3 61.3 220 13 7 10.6 5.8 | 15.6 60.1 175 19 10 9.2 5.0
6750 17.1 62.8 225 13 6 9.9 5.4 | 16.3 61.3 175 19 10 10.1 5.5
6500 17.9 64.2 225 12 6 14.0 7.7 | 17.2 63.0 170 18 9 13.6 7.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
博体育 Albuquerque NM
0719 MDT Saturday May 3 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, May 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 60.7 F/15.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1017 ft/min (5.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17373 ft MSL (11689 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 73.0 F/23.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12943 ft MSL (7260 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 05/04....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:12:51 / 19:53:48 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 40 min 57 sec (820 min 57 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:19 MDT... 70.87 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11909 ft MSL (6225 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13194 ft MSL (7510 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14524 ft MSL (8840 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.1
K index......................... +15.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.0 -77.8 280 34 17 2.8 1.6 92.9 199.3 40.7 M M
45000 -56.9 -70.4 280 45 23 1.7 0.9 77.1 170.7 33.5 M M
40000 -54.3 -65.7 275 39 20 1.8 1.0 58.1 136.6 23.3 M M
38000 -53.8 -64.8 270 28 15 0.4 0.2 50.1 122.2 18.6 M M
36000 -53.5 -64.3 255 10 5 0.4 0.2 41.0 105.8 12.8 M M
34000 -52.1 -61.8 140 4 2 6.2 3.4 35.0 95.0 8.8 M M
32000 -48.4 -55.1 090 8 4 6.2 3.4 32.0 89.5 6.8 M M
30000 -44.2 -47.6 090 12 6 8.5 4.7 29.9 85.8 5.4 M M
29000 -41.6 -42.9 100 11 6 8.5 4.7 29.3 84.8 5.0 M M
28000 -39.1 -38.4 110 12 6 8.5 4.7 28.9 84.0 4.7 M M
27000 -36.6 -33.9 120 12 6 8.4 4.6 28.5 83.3 4.5 M M
26000 -34.0 -29.2 125 14 7 8.4 4.6 27.9 82.2 4.0 M M
25000 -31.5 -24.7 130 15 8 8.4 4.6 27.4 81.3 3.7 M M
24000 -29.0 -20.2 135 16 8 8.1 4.5 27.0 80.5 3.4 M M
23000 -26.0 -14.8 135 16 8 8.1 4.4 26.1 79.0 2.7 M M
22000 -23.6 -10.5 140 15 8 8.1 4.4 25.5 78.0 2.3 M M
21000 -21.2 -6.2 140 14 7 8.4 4.6 25.0 77.0 1.8 M M
20000 -18.7 -1.7 145 14 7 8.5 4.7 24.5 76.1 1.4 M M
19500 -17.4 0.7 145 13 7 8.5 4.7 24.3 75.8 1.2 M M
19000 -16.1 3.0 150 13 7 8.3 4.6 24.2 75.5 1.1 M M
18500 -15.0 5.0 150 12 6 7.6 4.2 23.8 74.9 0.8 M M
18000 -13.9 7.0 150 10 5 7.7 4.2 23.5 74.2 0.5 M M
17500 -12.8 9.0 150 8 4 7.0 3.8 23.1 73.5 0.1 M M
17000 -11.7 10.9 160 6 3 6.9 3.8 22.6 72.6 -0.4 981 5.0
16500 -10.7 12.7 180 5 2 7.2 3.9 22.1 71.8 -0.8 936 4.8
16000 -9.6 14.7 205 4 2 7.6 4.2 21.7 71.1 -1.2 888 4.5
15500 -8.5 16.7 225 5 2 7.6 4.2 21.4 70.4 -1.5 839 4.3
15000 -7.3 18.9 235 5 3 7.9 4.4 21.0 69.9 -1.8 790 4.0
14500 -6.2 20.8 235 6 3 7.9 4.3 20.7 69.3 -2.1 741 3.8
14000 -5.0 23.0 235 5 3 8.3 4.5 20.5 68.8 -2.4 690 3.5
13500 -3.8 25.2 225 4 2 8.3 4.6 20.2 68.4 -2.7 639 3.2
13000 -2.6 27.3 205 3 2 7.7 4.3 20.0 67.9 -2.9 588 3.0
12500 -1.4 29.5 175 3 1 7.7 4.2 19.6 67.3 -3.3 539 2.7
12000 -0.3 31.5 150 3 2 7.4 4.0 19.3 66.7 -3.7 492 2.5
11500 0.7 33.3 140 4 2 7.3 4.0 18.9 66.0 -4.1 446 2.3
11000 1.7 35.1 135 4 2 6.7 3.7 18.5 65.2 -4.6 401 2.0
10500 2.6 36.7 135 4 2 6.5 3.6 17.9 64.3 -5.2 360 1.8
10250 3.0 37.4 140 4 2 6.1 3.4 17.7 63.8 -5.5 340 1.7
10000 3.4 38.1 145 4 2 5.2 2.9 17.4 63.2 -5.9 321 1.6
9750 3.7 38.7 145 4 2 4.9 2.7 17.0 62.5 -6.3 303 1.5
9500 4.1 39.4 145 3 2 4.9 2.7 16.6 61.9 -6.7 286 1.5
9250 4.4 39.9 150 3 2 5.5 3.0 16.2 61.2 -7.1 268 1.4
9000 5.1 41.2 155 3 2 4.7 2.6 15.5 60.0 -7.8 231 1.2
8750 5.5 41.9 155 3 2 4.8 2.6 15.2 59.3 -8.3 214 1.1
8500 5.8 42.4 155 3 2 5.1 2.8 14.8 58.6 -8.7 196 1.0
8250 6.2 43.2 155 3 1 5.1 2.8 14.4 58.0 -9.0 177 0.9
8000 6.6 43.9 145 3 1 4.6 2.5 14.1 57.3 -9.4 159 0.8
7750 6.9 44.4 140 3 1 4.9 2.7 13.7 56.6 -9.8 142 0.7
7500 7.3 45.1 135 3 1 6.8 3.7 13.4 56.0 -10.2 123 0.6
7250 7.8 46.0 135 3 1 5.4 3.0 13.1 55.7 -10.4 100 0.5
7000 8.1 46.6 125 3 1 2.7 1.5 12.7 54.8 -10.9 85 0.4
6750 8.3 46.9 115 3 1 4.5 2.5 12.2 53.9 -11.4 70 0.4
6500 8.7 47.7 110 3 2 5.9 3.2 11.9 53.3 -11.8 51 0.3
6250 9.1 48.4 115 3 2 5.4 3.0 11.6 52.8 -12.1 31 0.2
6000 9.4 48.9 110 3 2 -0.1 -0.1 11.1 52.0 -12.7 16 0.1
5750 8.7 47.7 105 3 2 -22.1 -12.1 9.7 49.4 -14.1 29 0.1
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.9 | CAPE... +241.8 LI... -1.2
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +15.4 | CINH... -16.5 K Index... +17.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.3 -78.3 270 31 16 2.9 1.6 | -60.9 -77.6 265 29 15 2.3 1.3
45000 -57.1 -70.8 275 39 20 1.4 0.7 | -57.5 -71.5 265 38 20 1.9 1.0
40000 -55.0 -67.0 265 38 19 1.4 0.8 | -54.6 -66.3 265 41 21 1.9 1.1
38000 -53.6 -64.5 260 30 16 2.2 1.2 | -52.9 -63.2 260 35 18 2.8 1.5
36000 -52.3 -62.1 245 21 11 2.2 1.2 | -51.2 -60.2 255 27 14 2.8 1.5
34000 -50.4 -58.7 215 11 6 4.9 2.7 | -49.3 -56.7 235 17 9 3.7 2.0
32000 -47.5 -53.5 120 11 6 4.9 2.7 | -47.1 -52.8 155 15 8 3.7 2.0
30000 -43.9 -47.0 105 20 10 8.1 4.4 | -43.9 -47.0 130 25 13 8.4 4.6
29000 -41.5 -42.7 105 20 10 8.1 4.4 | -41.4 -42.5 125 25 13 8.4 4.6
28000 -39.1 -38.4 110 19 10 8.1 4.4 | -38.9 -38.0 125 24 12 8.4 4.6
27000 -36.6 -33.9 115 18 9 8.8 4.8 | -36.4 -33.5 120 23 12 8.5 4.6
26000 -34.0 -29.2 115 18 9 8.7 4.8 | -33.8 -28.8 125 22 11 8.5 4.6
25000 -31.4 -24.5 120 17 9 8.7 4.8 | -31.3 -24.3 125 21 11 8.5 4.7
24000 -28.2 -18.8 130 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -28.2 -18.8 130 18 9 7.6 4.2
23000 -25.8 -14.4 140 15 8 8.0 4.4 | -25.9 -14.6 135 15 8 7.7 4.2
22000 -23.4 -10.1 150 15 7 8.0 4.4 | -23.6 -10.5 140 12 6 7.7 4.2
21000 -21.0 -5.8 160 14 7 8.1 4.5 | -21.3 -6.3 150 9 5 7.7 4.2
20000 -18.6 -1.5 165 12 6 8.2 4.5 | -19.0 -2.2 160 7 3 7.7 4.2
19500 -17.4 0.7 170 11 6 8.2 4.5 | -17.9 -0.2 170 6 3 7.7 4.2
19000 -16.2 2.8 170 10 5 8.1 4.4 | -16.7 1.9 185 5 3 7.7 4.3
18500 -15.0 5.0 170 9 5 7.7 4.2 | -15.6 3.9 190 6 3 7.9 4.3
18000 -13.9 7.0 170 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -14.4 6.1 190 6 3 7.9 4.3
17500 -12.7 9.1 165 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -13.2 8.2 190 7 4 8.3 4.6
17000 -11.6 11.1 165 6 3 7.5 4.1 | -12.0 10.4 180 7 4 8.3 4.6
16500 -10.5 13.1 155 5 2 7.3 4.0 | -10.7 12.7 170 8 4 7.8 4.3
16000 -9.5 14.9 155 3 2 7.0 3.8 | -9.7 14.5 170 7 4 7.1 3.9
15500 -8.5 16.7 155 2 1 7.0 3.8 | -8.7 16.3 170 7 4 7.1 3.9
15000 -7.5 18.5 190 1 1 6.5 3.5 | -7.6 18.3 180 6 3 7.1 3.9
14500 -6.6 20.1 235 2 1 6.4 3.5 | -6.6 20.1 190 6 3 7.0 3.8
14000 -5.5 22.1 240 3 1 8.3 4.6 | -5.5 22.1 200 7 3 8.4 4.6
13500 -4.3 24.3 235 4 2 8.3 4.5 | -4.3 24.3 210 7 4 8.3 4.6
13000 -3.1 26.4 230 4 2 8.1 4.5 | -3.0 26.6 215 7 4 8.5 4.7
12500 -1.9 28.6 220 4 2 8.1 4.5 | -1.8 28.8 215 8 4 8.5 4.7
12000 -0.7 30.7 215 5 2 7.7 4.2 | -0.5 31.1 220 8 4 8.7 4.8
11500 0.4 32.7 205 5 3 7.6 4.2 | 0.8 33.4 215 7 4 8.9 4.9
11000 1.5 34.7 200 5 3 7.0 3.9 | 2.0 35.6 215 7 4 7.6 4.2
10500 2.4 36.3 195 6 3 6.8 3.7 | 3.0 37.4 205 7 4 8.3 4.6
10250 2.9 37.2 190 6 3 6.3 3.5 | 3.7 38.7 205 7 4 9.3 5.1
10000 3.3 37.9 190 6 3 6.0 3.3 | 4.3 39.7 205 7 3 6.7 3.7
9750 3.7 38.7 190 6 3 5.9 3.3 | 4.7 40.5 200 6 3 5.7 3.1
9500 4.1 39.4 190 6 3 6.0 3.3 | 5.1 41.2 200 6 3 5.7 3.1
9250 4.6 40.3 190 5 3 5.9 3.2 | 5.5 41.9 195 6 3 8.2 4.5
9000 4.9 40.8 190 5 3 5.3 2.9 | 6.9 44.4 200 6 3 8.9 4.9
8750 5.7 42.3 185 4 2 5.3 2.9 | 7.6 45.7 200 5 3 9.5 5.2
8500 6.0 42.8 185 3 2 4.4 2.4 | 8.3 46.9 200 5 3 8.1 4.5
8250 6.3 43.3 175 2 1 4.8 2.6 | 8.8 47.8 200 5 3 8.8 4.9
8000 6.7 44.1 165 2 1 5.9 3.3 | 9.6 49.3 200 5 3 10.7 5.9
7750 7.1 44.8 145 1 1 5.5 3.0 | 10.4 50.7 200 5 3 10.1 5.5
7500 7.5 45.5 110 1 0 4.9 2.7 | 11.1 52.0 205 5 3 9.4 5.2
7250 7.9 46.2 080 1 0 7.4 4.0 | 11.8 53.2 205 5 3 10.1 5.5
7000 8.6 47.5 065 1 0 9.6 5.3 | 12.6 54.7 205 5 3 11.1 6.1
6750 9.3 48.7 055 1 1 9.3 5.1 | 13.4 56.1 210 5 3 10.6 5.8
6500 10.0 50.0 050 1 1 10.0 5.5 | 14.2 57.6 210 5 2 10.6 5.8
6250 10.7 51.3 050 1 0 9.2 5.0 | 15.0 59.0 210 5 2 9.6 5.3
6000 11.4 52.5 045 1 0 11.2 6.2 | 15.8 60.4 210 5 2 14.0 7.7
5750 12.9 55.2 030 1 0 32.8 18.0 | 17.9 64.2 215 5 2 52.3 28.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
05/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +164.2 LI... -0.2 | CAPE... +55.7 LI... +0.1
CINH... -11.0 K Index... +15.4 | CINH... -32.3 K Index... +23.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.0 -77.8 260 28 14 2.1 1.2 | -60.6 -77.1 260 24 12 1.7 1.0
45000 -57.8 -72.0 255 35 18 1.6 0.9 | -58.1 -72.6 255 36 18 0.8 0.4
40000 -55.4 -67.7 260 30 15 1.6 0.9 | -56.8 -70.2 260 31 16 0.9 0.5
38000 -53.3 -63.9 260 31 16 3.8 2.1 | -54.4 -65.9 265 30 16 4.7 2.6
36000 -51.1 -60.0 260 34 17 3.8 2.1 | -51.6 -60.9 270 30 16 4.7 2.6
34000 -48.7 -55.7 260 31 16 4.2 2.3 | -48.8 -55.8 270 27 14 4.3 2.4
32000 -46.2 -51.2 245 19 10 4.2 2.3 | -46.2 -51.2 260 19 10 4.3 2.4
30000 -43.1 -45.6 205 11 6 7.2 4.0 | -42.6 -44.7 250 12 6 9.0 4.9
29000 -40.9 -41.6 180 12 6 7.2 4.0 | -39.9 -39.8 245 9 4 9.0 4.9
28000 -38.7 -37.7 160 13 7 7.2 4.0 | -37.3 -35.1 240 5 3 9.0 4.9
27000 -36.5 -33.7 150 16 8 9.1 5.0 | -34.7 -30.5 210 3 1 7.1 3.9
26000 -33.8 -28.8 150 15 8 8.9 4.9 | -32.5 -26.5 165 4 2 7.2 3.9
25000 -31.1 -24.0 150 15 8 8.9 4.9 | -30.4 -22.7 145 7 3 7.2 3.9
24000 -28.5 -19.3 150 15 8 8.6 4.7 | -27.6 -17.7 140 9 5 8.6 4.7
23000 -25.3 -13.5 150 13 7 8.4 4.6 | -25.0 -13.0 145 10 5 8.5 4.7
22000 -22.8 -9.0 150 12 6 8.4 4.6 | -22.5 -8.5 150 10 5 8.5 4.7
21000 -20.3 -4.5 150 11 6 7.9 4.3 | -20.1 -4.2 155 10 5 7.8 4.3
20000 -18.0 -0.4 150 9 5 7.9 4.3 | -17.7 0.1 155 11 6 7.8 4.3
19500 -16.8 1.8 150 9 4 7.9 4.3 | -16.6 2.1 155 11 6 7.8 4.3
19000 -15.6 3.9 150 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -15.4 4.3 155 11 6 7.7 4.2
18500 -14.5 5.9 150 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -14.4 6.1 160 12 6 6.2 3.4
18000 -13.4 7.9 150 7 4 7.6 4.2 | -13.5 7.7 165 13 7 6.3 3.5
17500 -12.3 9.9 150 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -12.6 9.3 165 14 7 6.7 3.7
17000 -11.2 11.8 155 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -11.6 11.1 170 15 8 6.9 3.8
16500 -10.0 14.0 160 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -10.6 12.9 175 16 8 7.3 4.0
16000 -8.9 16.0 175 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -9.5 14.9 175 17 9 8.2 4.5
15500 -7.8 18.0 185 7 4 7.6 4.2 | -8.3 17.1 180 17 9 8.2 4.5
15000 -6.6 20.1 195 8 4 8.1 4.5 | -7.0 19.4 180 17 9 9.2 5.1
14500 -5.4 22.3 195 9 5 8.1 4.5 | -5.6 21.9 180 18 9 9.1 5.0
14000 -4.3 24.3 195 10 5 8.3 4.5 | -4.3 24.3 185 18 9 9.5 5.2
13500 -3.1 26.4 195 11 6 8.3 4.5 | -2.8 27.0 185 18 9 9.6 5.2
13000 -1.9 28.6 195 11 6 8.7 4.8 | -1.4 29.5 185 18 9 9.5 5.2
12500 -0.6 30.9 195 11 6 8.8 4.8 | -0.0 32.0 185 18 9 9.5 5.2
12000 0.7 33.3 195 11 6 9.2 5.1 | 1.4 34.5 190 18 9 9.4 5.2
11500 2.1 35.8 195 11 6 9.4 5.1 | 2.8 37.0 190 18 9 9.3 5.1
11000 3.5 38.3 195 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 4.2 39.6 195 18 9 9.2 5.0
10500 4.9 40.8 190 11 6 9.4 5.2 | 5.5 41.9 200 18 9 8.9 4.9
10250 5.6 42.1 195 11 6 9.2 5.1 | 6.2 43.2 200 17 9 8.7 4.8
10000 6.3 43.3 195 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 6.8 44.2 200 17 9 8.6 4.7
9750 7.1 44.8 195 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 7.4 45.3 205 17 9 8.4 4.6
9500 7.8 46.0 195 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 8.1 46.6 210 17 9 8.5 4.6
9250 8.5 47.3 195 11 6 9.2 5.1 | 8.7 47.7 210 17 9 8.5 4.7
9000 9.2 48.6 195 11 5 9.2 5.0 | 9.8 49.6 220 16 8 7.2 3.9
8750 9.9 49.8 195 11 5 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 225 16 8 6.8 3.7
8500 11.3 52.3 195 10 5 10.5 5.7 | 10.9 51.6 225 16 8 8.9 4.9
8250 12.1 53.8 195 10 5 10.9 6.0 | 11.6 52.9 230 16 8 9.2 5.1
8000 12.9 55.2 195 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 12.2 54.0 235 17 9 6.9 3.8
7750 13.6 56.5 195 10 5 10.2 5.6 | 12.7 54.9 240 17 9 8.4 4.6
7500 14.4 57.9 195 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 13.3 55.9 240 18 9 4.8 2.6
7250 15.0 59.0 195 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 13.5 56.3 245 19 10 5.6 3.1
7000 15.8 60.4 195 10 5 10.9 6.0 | 14.2 57.6 250 19 10 9.6 5.2
6750 16.6 61.9 195 10 5 10.7 5.9 | 14.8 58.6 250 20 10 8.6 4.7
6500 17.4 63.3 195 9 5 10.1 5.6 | 15.5 59.9 255 20 10 8.6 4.7
6250 18.3 64.9 200 9 5 16.1 8.8 | 16.2 61.2 255 20 10 12.2 6.7
6000 19.9 67.8 200 9 4 27.6 15.2 | 17.3 63.1 260 19 10 19.3 10.6
5750 21.6 70.9 200 8 4 6.6 3.6 | 18.5 65.3 260 17 9 6.3 3.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, at approximately 730 AM and 730 PM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
博体育 Albuquerque NM
0718 MDT Saturday May 3 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, May 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 58.6 F/14.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 881 ft/min (4.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20306 ft MSL (13851 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 72.0 F/22.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14942 ft MSL (8486 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 05/04....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:09:42 / 19:52:44 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 43 min 1 sec (823 min 1 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:01:13 MDT... 70.31 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12044 ft MSL (5589 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13824 ft MSL (7369 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15587 ft MSL (9132 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.5
K index......................... +12.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.8 -77.4 285 30 15 2.4 1.3 90.4 194.8 39.8 M M
45000 -57.4 -71.3 280 39 20 1.7 1.0 73.7 164.6 32.0 M M
40000 -54.7 -66.5 275 35 18 1.8 1.0 55.0 131.0 21.8 M M
38000 -54.3 -65.7 280 24 12 -0.1 -0.0 46.8 116.3 16.9 M M
36000 -54.3 -65.7 315 6 3 -0.1 -0.0 37.3 99.2 10.7 M M
34000 -52.9 -63.2 055 9 4 6.9 3.8 31.3 88.4 6.6 M M
32000 -48.8 -55.8 060 11 5 6.9 3.8 28.9 84.0 5.0 M M
30000 -44.3 -47.7 065 11 6 8.8 4.8 27.3 81.1 3.9 M M
29000 -41.6 -42.9 075 11 5 8.8 4.8 26.9 80.3 3.6 M M
28000 -39.0 -38.2 080 10 5 8.8 4.8 26.6 79.8 3.4 M M
27000 -36.4 -33.5 090 10 5 8.5 4.7 26.3 79.3 3.2 M M
26000 -33.8 -28.8 100 10 5 8.6 4.7 25.7 78.3 2.8 M M
25000 -31.3 -24.3 110 10 5 8.6 4.7 25.3 77.6 2.5 M M
24000 -28.1 -18.6 120 10 5 7.8 4.3 24.7 76.5 2.1 M M
23000 -25.8 -14.4 120 9 5 7.8 4.3 24.0 75.2 1.4 M M
22000 -23.5 -10.3 125 9 5 7.9 4.3 23.4 74.0 0.9 M M
21000 -21.1 -6.0 130 8 4 8.0 4.4 22.7 72.9 0.4 M M
20000 -18.7 -1.7 135 8 4 8.0 4.4 22.1 71.8 -0.2 1244 6.3
19500 -17.5 0.5 140 8 4 8.0 4.4 21.8 71.3 -0.4 1194 6.1
19000 -16.4 2.5 140 7 4 8.1 4.4 21.6 70.8 -0.7 1143 5.8
18500 -15.1 4.8 145 7 4 8.4 4.6 21.3 70.4 -0.9 1092 5.5
18000 -13.9 7.0 155 7 4 8.4 4.6 21.1 70.0 -1.1 1040 5.3
17500 -12.6 9.3 160 7 3 8.1 4.5 20.9 69.5 -1.4 988 5.0
17000 -11.4 11.5 165 6 3 8.1 4.4 20.6 69.0 -1.6 937 4.8
16500 -10.2 13.6 175 6 3 7.9 4.4 20.3 68.5 -1.9 887 4.5
16000 -9.1 15.6 180 6 3 7.7 4.2 20.0 67.9 -2.2 838 4.3
15500 -8.0 17.6 190 5 3 7.7 4.2 19.6 67.3 -2.6 789 4.0
15000 -6.9 19.6 200 4 2 7.5 4.1 19.3 66.7 -2.9 741 3.8
14500 -5.8 21.6 215 3 2 7.5 4.1 18.9 66.0 -3.3 693 3.5
14000 -4.7 23.5 225 3 1 7.8 4.3 18.6 65.4 -3.7 645 3.3
13500 -3.5 25.7 245 2 1 7.8 4.3 18.2 64.8 -4.0 597 3.0
13000 -2.4 27.7 270 2 1 8.0 4.4 17.9 64.3 -4.4 548 2.8
12500 -1.2 29.8 300 2 1 8.0 4.4 17.7 63.8 -4.7 499 2.5
12000 -0.1 31.8 320 2 1 7.0 3.9 17.4 63.2 -5.0 450 2.3
11500 0.8 33.4 320 2 1 6.4 3.5 16.9 62.3 -5.6 407 2.1
11000 1.9 35.4 330 2 1 6.6 3.6 16.5 61.6 -6.0 361 1.8
10500 2.9 37.2 345 1 1 4.3 2.4 15.3 59.6 -7.3 308 1.6
10250 3.1 37.6 345 1 0 3.9 2.1 14.9 58.8 -7.7 294 1.5
10000 3.4 38.1 000 0 0 4.4 2.4 14.5 58.0 -8.2 278 1.4
9750 3.7 38.7 125 1 0 4.3 2.4 14.0 57.3 -8.7 262 1.3
9500 4.0 39.2 135 1 1 4.4 2.4 13.6 56.5 -9.1 246 1.2
9250 4.3 39.7 145 2 1 4.1 2.3 13.2 55.8 -9.6 230 1.2
9000 4.6 40.3 150 3 2 3.6 2.0 12.8 55.0 -10.1 214 1.1
8750 4.8 40.6 155 4 2 3.5 1.9 12.3 54.1 -10.6 199 1.0
8500 5.1 41.2 160 5 2 3.8 2.1 11.8 53.3 -11.1 185 0.9
8250 5.4 41.7 155 5 3 4.3 2.4 11.4 52.5 -11.6 168 0.9
8000 5.7 42.3 155 6 3 4.6 2.5 11.0 51.8 -12.0 151 0.8
7750 6.0 42.8 155 6 3 4.7 2.6 10.6 51.1 -12.4 133 0.7
7500 6.4 43.5 155 6 3 4.7 2.6 10.2 50.4 -12.8 115 0.6
7250 6.7 44.1 150 6 3 4.2 2.3 9.8 49.7 -13.2 98 0.5
7000 7.1 44.8 150 5 3 5.9 3.3 9.4 49.0 -13.6 80 0.4
6750 7.5 45.5 145 5 3 1.2 0.6 9.1 48.4 -14.0 61 0.3
6500 6.1 43.0 135 3 2 -49.8 -27.3 7.0 44.6 -16.1 94 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.8 LI... +1.0 | CAPE... +179.0 LI... -0.4
CINH... -0.9 K Index... +5.8 | CINH... -25.4 K Index... +6.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.1 -76.2 280 26 13 2.6 1.4 | -61.0 -77.8 270 27 14 2.7 1.5
45000 -56.4 -69.5 275 34 18 0.8 0.5 | -57.1 -70.8 265 34 17 1.2 0.7
40000 -55.0 -67.0 265 33 17 1.0 0.5 | -55.1 -67.2 265 37 19 1.3 0.7
38000 -53.9 -65.0 255 21 11 1.8 1.0 | -54.4 -65.9 255 26 13 1.1 0.6
36000 -52.9 -63.2 220 6 3 1.8 1.0 | -53.7 -64.7 220 14 7 1.1 0.6
34000 -51.2 -60.2 110 10 5 4.8 2.7 | -52.0 -61.6 160 13 7 6.1 3.4
32000 -48.3 -54.9 095 15 8 4.9 2.7 | -48.3 -54.9 135 18 9 6.1 3.4
30000 -44.5 -48.1 090 17 9 8.8 4.8 | -44.1 -47.4 125 22 11 8.6 4.7
29000 -41.9 -43.4 090 16 8 8.8 4.8 | -41.5 -42.7 125 22 11 8.6 4.7
28000 -39.2 -38.6 090 15 8 8.8 4.8 | -39.0 -38.2 125 21 11 8.6 4.7
27000 -36.6 -33.9 095 13 7 8.6 4.7 | -36.4 -33.5 125 20 10 8.5 4.6
26000 -34.0 -29.2 105 12 6 8.6 4.7 | -33.9 -29.0 125 18 9 8.5 4.6
25000 -30.8 -23.4 120 12 6 8.6 4.7 | -30.7 -23.3 125 16 8 8.5 4.6
24000 -28.3 -18.9 130 11 6 8.2 4.5 | -28.2 -18.8 130 14 7 8.2 4.5
23000 -25.8 -14.4 135 10 5 8.2 4.5 | -25.7 -14.3 130 11 6 8.2 4.5
22000 -23.3 -9.9 140 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -23.3 -9.9 130 9 5 8.2 4.5
21000 -20.9 -5.6 145 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -20.9 -5.6 130 7 4 7.9 4.3
20000 -18.6 -1.5 145 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -18.5 -1.3 130 7 4 7.9 4.3
19500 -17.4 0.7 145 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -17.3 0.9 130 7 4 7.9 4.3
19000 -16.2 2.8 145 8 4 8.0 4.4 | -16.2 2.8 125 7 3 8.0 4.4
18500 -15.0 5.0 145 8 4 8.5 4.6 | -14.9 5.2 125 7 4 8.2 4.5
18000 -13.7 7.3 145 8 4 8.4 4.6 | -13.7 7.3 130 7 4 8.2 4.5
17500 -12.5 9.5 150 8 4 8.5 4.7 | -12.5 9.5 130 8 4 8.2 4.5
17000 -11.2 11.8 150 8 4 8.5 4.7 | -11.3 11.7 130 8 4 8.2 4.5
16500 -9.9 14.2 150 8 4 8.3 4.5 | -10.1 13.8 135 8 4 8.0 4.4
16000 -8.7 16.3 155 7 4 7.9 4.4 | -8.9 16.0 130 7 4 7.8 4.3
15500 -7.6 18.3 155 6 3 7.9 4.4 | -7.8 18.0 130 7 3 7.8 4.3
15000 -6.5 20.3 160 5 3 6.9 3.8 | -6.7 19.9 125 6 3 7.1 3.9
14500 -5.5 22.1 160 3 2 7.0 3.8 | -5.6 21.9 120 5 2 7.2 4.0
14000 -4.5 23.9 165 2 1 7.0 3.8 | -4.6 23.7 110 4 2 7.2 4.0
13500 -3.5 25.7 000 0 0 7.1 3.9 | -3.6 25.5 105 3 1 7.3 4.0
13000 -2.5 27.5 320 1 0 7.3 4.0 | -2.6 27.3 100 2 1 7.5 4.1
12500 -1.4 29.5 330 1 1 7.4 4.0 | -1.5 29.3 130 1 1 7.6 4.2
12000 -0.4 31.3 330 1 1 6.7 3.7 | -0.4 31.3 175 1 1 7.2 4.0
11500 0.5 32.9 305 1 1 6.3 3.5 | 0.6 33.1 195 3 1 7.1 3.9
11000 1.5 34.7 280 1 0 6.6 3.6 | 1.7 35.1 200 4 2 8.3 4.5
10500 2.7 36.9 215 1 1 5.7 3.1 | 3.5 38.3 205 5 2 8.8 4.8
10250 3.1 37.6 210 2 1 4.9 2.7 | 4.2 39.6 205 5 3 9.2 5.1
10000 3.4 38.1 200 2 1 4.6 2.5 | 4.8 40.6 205 6 3 9.2 5.0
9750 3.7 38.7 195 3 1 4.6 2.5 | 5.5 41.9 205 6 3 9.1 5.0
9500 4.1 39.4 190 3 2 5.0 2.7 | 6.2 43.2 205 6 3 9.4 5.2
9250 4.4 39.9 185 3 2 4.9 2.7 | 6.9 44.4 205 6 3 9.8 5.4
9000 4.7 40.5 180 3 2 3.9 2.1 | 7.6 45.7 210 6 3 9.8 5.4
8750 5.0 41.0 175 4 2 3.9 2.1 | 8.4 47.1 210 6 3 9.8 5.4
8500 5.2 41.4 175 4 2 3.5 1.9 | 9.1 48.4 210 6 3 9.7 5.3
8250 5.5 41.9 165 4 2 3.7 2.0 | 9.8 49.6 210 6 3 9.8 5.4
8000 5.8 42.4 160 4 2 7.1 3.9 | 10.6 51.1 215 6 3 10.5 5.8
7750 6.5 43.7 160 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 11.4 52.5 215 6 3 10.8 5.9
7500 7.2 45.0 160 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 12.2 54.0 215 6 3 10.4 5.7
7250 7.9 46.2 160 4 2 10.2 5.6 | 12.9 55.2 215 6 3 10.5 5.8
7000 8.6 47.5 160 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 13.7 56.7 215 6 3 9.3 5.1
6750 9.3 48.7 160 4 2 11.5 6.3 | 14.5 58.1 220 6 3 14.3 7.9
6500 10.9 51.6 165 3 2 36.6 20.1 | 16.8 62.2 220 6 3 61.0 33.4
05/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +149.0 LI... -1.0 | CAPE... +153.3 LI... -0.8
CINH... -4.7 K Index... +20.1 | CINH... -16.4 K Index... +25.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.8 -77.4 265 25 13 1.9 1.0 | -60.4 -76.7 260 21 11 2.0 1.1
45000 -58.0 -72.4 260 35 18 1.5 0.8 | -57.5 -71.5 260 28 14 1.1 0.6
40000 -55.7 -68.3 260 36 19 1.5 0.8 | -55.8 -68.4 250 31 16 1.1 0.6
38000 -54.1 -65.4 260 26 13 2.7 1.5 | -54.8 -66.6 250 28 15 1.7 0.9
36000 -52.4 -62.3 255 13 6 2.7 1.5 | -53.8 -64.8 255 24 12 1.7 0.9
34000 -50.2 -58.4 185 3 2 5.6 3.1 | -51.6 -60.9 260 16 8 7.0 3.8
32000 -46.8 -52.2 125 10 5 5.6 3.1 | -47.4 -53.3 245 3 1 7.0 3.9
30000 -43.0 -45.4 120 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -43.1 -45.6 105 7 4 7.7 4.2
29000 -40.7 -41.3 130 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -40.8 -41.4 120 9 5 7.7 4.2
28000 -38.4 -37.1 130 20 11 7.8 4.3 | -38.5 -37.3 130 11 6 7.7 4.2
27000 -36.0 -32.8 135 22 11 8.5 4.7 | -36.1 -33.0 140 13 7 8.9 4.9
26000 -33.5 -28.3 135 21 11 8.5 4.7 | -33.5 -28.3 140 13 7 8.9 4.9
25000 -30.3 -22.5 135 20 11 8.5 4.7 | -30.1 -22.2 145 14 7 8.9 4.9
24000 -27.8 -18.0 135 19 10 8.0 4.4 | -27.6 -17.7 145 13 7 8.2 4.5
23000 -25.3 -13.5 135 16 8 8.1 4.4 | -25.1 -13.2 150 13 6 8.3 4.5
22000 -22.9 -9.2 135 14 7 8.1 4.4 | -22.7 -8.9 150 12 6 8.3 4.5
21000 -20.7 -5.3 135 11 6 7.0 3.9 | -20.3 -4.5 150 11 6 7.4 4.1
20000 -18.6 -1.5 135 9 5 7.1 3.9 | -18.2 -0.8 155 12 6 7.4 4.1
19500 -17.6 0.3 135 9 4 7.1 3.9 | -17.1 1.2 155 12 6 7.4 4.1
19000 -16.5 2.3 140 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -16.0 3.2 155 12 6 7.4 4.1
18500 -15.4 4.3 140 8 4 8.3 4.6 | -14.9 5.2 160 12 6 7.7 4.2
18000 -14.2 6.4 145 8 4 8.2 4.5 | -13.7 7.3 160 12 6 7.7 4.2
17500 -13.0 8.6 150 8 4 8.5 4.7 | -12.6 9.3 165 12 6 7.8 4.3
17000 -11.7 10.9 155 9 4 8.6 4.7 | -11.5 11.3 170 11 6 7.9 4.3
16500 -10.5 13.1 160 9 5 8.5 4.6 | -10.3 13.5 175 11 6 8.0 4.4
16000 -9.3 15.3 165 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -9.1 15.6 180 11 6 8.3 4.5
15500 -8.1 17.4 170 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -7.9 17.8 180 11 6 8.2 4.5
15000 -6.8 19.8 170 9 5 8.5 4.7 | -6.7 19.9 185 11 6 8.7 4.8
14500 -5.6 21.9 175 9 5 8.5 4.7 | -5.4 22.3 190 11 6 8.6 4.7
14000 -4.3 24.3 180 9 5 9.3 5.1 | -4.1 24.6 195 11 6 9.2 5.0
13500 -2.9 26.8 185 9 5 9.3 5.1 | -2.7 27.1 195 11 6 9.2 5.1
13000 -1.6 29.1 185 9 5 9.5 5.2 | -1.3 29.7 200 11 6 9.3 5.1
12500 -0.1 31.8 190 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 0.1 32.2 205 11 6 9.4 5.1
12000 1.3 34.3 190 9 4 9.4 5.2 | 1.5 34.7 205 11 6 9.5 5.2
11500 2.7 36.9 195 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 2.9 37.2 210 11 6 9.6 5.3
11000 4.9 40.8 200 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 4.3 39.7 210 11 6 9.8 5.4
10500 6.3 43.3 205 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 6.5 43.7 210 11 6 9.4 5.2
10250 7.0 44.6 205 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 7.2 45.0 210 11 6 9.3 5.1
10000 7.7 45.9 210 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 7.9 46.2 210 11 6 9.6 5.3
9750 8.4 47.1 215 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 8.6 47.5 210 11 6 9.5 5.2
9500 9.2 48.6 215 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 9.3 48.7 210 11 6 9.7 5.3
9250 9.9 49.8 220 8 4 9.8 5.3 | 10.0 50.0 210 10 5 9.5 5.2
9000 10.6 51.1 220 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 10.7 51.3 210 10 5 9.1 5.0
8750 11.4 52.5 225 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 11.4 52.5 210 10 5 9.2 5.0
8500 12.1 53.8 225 8 4 10.0 5.5 | 12.1 53.8 210 9 5 9.1 5.0
8250 12.9 55.2 230 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 12.8 55.0 210 9 5 9.1 5.0
8000 13.6 56.5 230 8 4 10.3 5.6 | 13.4 56.1 210 8 4 9.2 5.1
7750 14.4 57.9 235 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 14.1 57.4 205 8 4 9.2 5.1
7500 15.2 59.4 235 9 4 10.4 5.7 | 14.8 58.6 205 7 4 9.3 5.1
7250 16.0 60.8 235 9 4 11.3 6.2 | 15.5 59.9 205 7 4 9.8 5.4
7000 16.8 62.2 240 9 4 9.2 5.1 | 16.2 61.2 200 7 3 8.9 4.9
6750 17.5 63.5 240 8 4 14.0 7.7 | 16.9 62.4 200 6 3 10.5 5.7
6500 20.1 68.2 245 8 4 68.7 37.7 | 18.3 64.9 195 5 3 32.4 17.8
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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