Experimental Winter Snow Probabilities

Strong to Severe Thunderstorms from the Southern Plains to the Ohio Valley; Heavy Rain and Flooding in the Southern Plains

Severe thunderstorms are expected from central Texas to middle Tennessee and Kentucky this afternoon into tonight. Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats. Heavy to excessive rainfall may produce areas of flooding today and tonight from central Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley.

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Snow Amount Potential Graphics
Snow Amount Exceedance Graphics
Snowfall Totals by Location
Winter Storm Outlook and Winter Storm Severity Index
Snow and Ice Observations
Medium/Long Range Forecast

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Snow Amount Potential Experimental - Click here for more information on these products
Expected Snowfall - Official 博体育 Forecast What's this?	High End Amount 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall What's this?
	Low End Amount 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall What's this?
Low End Amount – 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes. Expected Snowfall - Official 博体育 Forecast This map is the official 博体育 snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by 博体育 forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations. High End Amount – Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.

The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing 博体育 deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's , and please provide us your feedback .

Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...

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Snowfall Totals by Location

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Location	Low-End Amount	Expected Amount	High-End Amount	Chance of Seeing More Than
Location	Low-End Amount	Expected Amount	High-End Amount

Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI)	Winter Storm Outlook (WSO)

National Snow Reports	National Snowfall Analysis

Days 4-7 Winter Weather Outlook

Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook	Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook


Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook	Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook



CPC Week-2 Experimental Heavy Snow Risk



CPC Temperature & Precipitation Maps

Days 6-10
Temperature	Precipitation



Days 8-14
TEMPERATURE	PRECIPITATION



Week 3-4
TEMPERATURE	PRECIPITATION